Calculating the actual and foreseen fuel demand/Consumption is key parameter for the planing of the aviation fuel infrastructure. The exercise is very complex due to the various parameters. At hansaconsult we utilize proven methods that consider all available resources and data inputs. We work side by side with airports and airports developer to determine the most adequate values based on airport growth plans and forecast predictions for air travelers to determine the uplift values
Before any detailed estimates or forecast can be made of the fuel demand and peak rate at which fuel must be delivered into aircrafts it is necessary to obtain as reliable an indication as is possible of the future level of aircraft activity. Where possible, details of the predicted airport growth levels, both in terms of aircraft movements and passengers, should be obtained.
As far as possible, the anticipated aircraft mix (at least in terms of narrow bodied and wide bodied aircraft), the destinations, schedule and typical fuel uplifts should be obtained.
If little or no information is available then initial estimates could be made by comparison of the proposed size of the airport facilities (especially number of runways and terminals) with existing airports of a similar size and utilization.
A factor that should also be considered is the differing fuel uplifts and ground times for domestic (smaller, but frequent, uplifts) and international long-haul flights, schedule and charter services (seasonal peaks) and passenger and cargo aircraft (likely to park in remote apron areas). An assessment should also be made of the possibility of airlines ‘tankering’ and the likely effects this would have on the volumes.